Sunday, January 27, 2013

Basketball Preview: Purdue vs Iowa - January 27th - 3:30 pm - BTN

I've been under the weather, so we're going to keep this one short.  Iowa comes in to Mackey later this afternoon to face the Boilermakers.

Why Purdue Will Win
If they play like the first half of the Michigan game, or like their last home game against West Virginia, the Boilers will win this game somewhat easily.  While I don't expect another three-point shooting barrage in the first half, I do expect AJ Hammons to have a much better game.  Also, look for Jacob Lawson to regain some playing time, since Purdue will need him to match up against Iowa's bigger bodies.  With strong defense, Purdue should be able to create a lot of turnovers, like they did against West Virginia, to capitalize and frustrate the Iowa offense.  It'll probably be an ugly game for the Boilers to prevail.

Why Iowa Will Win
At 2-4 in the conference, Iowa's losses have all come against ranked teams (Indiana, Michigan, Michigan St., Ohio St., in my opinion the top four teams in the Big Ten), and two were incredibly close. They also beat Northwestern on the road and Wisconsin at home.  If you haven't figured it out yet, that means that the Hawkeyes are likely much better than their record dictates, and they haven't played the conference cupcakes yet.  7-foot center Adam Woodbury may be able to keep Hammons quiet inside, Aaron White and Roy Marble will likely get the offense going, and Melsahn Basabe can be a terror on defense around the rim.

No Fran, there will not be punch and pie!
One thing you absolutely need to know before the game 
This probably isn't that critical, but be ready to see the Purdue coaching staff wearing special Coaches vs. Cancer shoes during the game.  Thankfully they won't be those hideous bright pink ones for breast cancer awareness.  Maybe if Painter gets really angry, he'll throw one across the court.  Who throws a shoe? Honestly!

Our Picks - We like to think we're better than Vegas.  So throughout the season, we'll be "betting" a whole dollar amount versus the spread between $1 and $32, but we can't repeat the same value twice. The spread for this game is Purdue by 2.5 points.

Erik's Bet: $9
Erik's Pick: Iowa 67 - Purdue 61

Kirk's Bet: $11
Kirk's Pick: Purdue 65 - Iowa 61

Erik +241 (17-4 Against The Spread)
Kirk -164 (7-14 Against The Spread) (Why do I even do this anymore?! Maybe I can set an all-time record in futility)

Values already bet
Erik 2, 3, 5, 6, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 17, 21, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 30, 31, 32
Kirk 11, 12, 13, 14, 15,16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32


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