Monday, November 12, 2012

Basketball Recap: Purdue 83 - Hofstra 54

After dropping the first game of the season to Bucknell, the Boilers made easy work of a very poor Hofstra squad yesterday.  Honestly, I think we learned more about the team in the Montevallo exhibition game, because Hofstra simply couldn't compete (which we should have known when they lost by 29 points to Monmouth in their opener).

Things We Liked
I'm a fan of awkward photos

  • A 42-17 first half lead is always a good thing!
  • The Boilers shot 51% from the field and held Hofstra to 34% shooting
  • 47 rebounds including 19 offensive boards (compared to Hofstra's 21 total)
  • 21 assists, including seven by Ronnie Johnson
  • 77% from the charity stripe.  I'd take that in a heartbeat from this team.
  • Anthony Johnson is starting the year out strong.  Through two games, little AJ has had 22 points, ten assists, and nine rebounds, with only two turnovers.  He's becoming a do-everything guard much to my surprise.
  • Similarly, Ronnie Johnson has been playing well all around.  He's compiled 21 points, nine assists, and twelve rebounds (although with seven total turnovers, which I expected as he gets adjusted to leading the offense as a freshman)
  • Welcome back Terone.  The Boilers sure could have used him in the loss to Bucknell, but it looks like his ankle isn't in horrible shape, although it may have slowed him down on defense.  We need him healthy if Purdue hopes to make any noise this season.
  • Sandi scored appropriately against smaller opponents, going 5 of 8 for 11 points, as did Jacob Lawson with an offensive explosion for eight points on 4 of 5 shooting. 

Things We Didn't Like

  • 20 turnovers against a bad team.  This is going to be a sloppy season, and uncharacteristic of disciplined Matt Painter squads.  Sandi had four butterfingers
  • Only four blocks against a smaller, over-matched Hofstra team that had seven swats.  We need to see some better defense from the bigs.
  • 20 personal fouls. See my comment above about sloppy play.  What's most concerning isn't only the sheer number but that it wasn't just the young freshman.  Ronnie had three, but so did Terone and Carroll.  The only reason no one was in foul trouble was that everyone got to play significant minutes in the blowout win.
  • Shooting 39% from three-point range.  This isn't horrible and I expect it to be a weakness of the team that will prove costly against good competition.  The worst thing was DJ Byrd, who should be our best 3-point threat, was only 1 of 4 (3 of 11 on the year) and only Anthony Johnson did any real damage from downtown (3 of 5).  Against Bucknell the three-point shooting was horrible (2 of 16) and a big reason for the loss, so while this is an improvement, it was against a bad team with a lot of open looks.
  • Jay Simpson was 1 of 4 shooting and still out of shape.  Hopefully as the season progresses he can be more of a force as he recovers from his off-season issues.

Who's happy that we can actually watch the next few games on television!  I hope the Big Ten Digital Network is put to pasture by next season, but I'm guessing we'll see even more games broadcast on that revenue stream in the future.  Also, don't get too comfortable with your TV, as the Boilers will be featured on  "ESPN 3" (i.e. your laptop) later in December.


Our Picks Update
I am officially 0 for 4 this season, and I've bet my maximum four times.  If this lasts for six more weeks it will be impossible for me to net a positive result on the season, and I think Erik already has the victory secured.  So instead, it is now my goal to get the largest negative score possible.  Yes, my bets will be the opposite of a winning bet, but watch, I'll probably do better betting the opposite of what I think will happen.


Standings through three games
Erik +84
Kirk -122
That's a 206 point lead Erik, enjoy it and bar me from ever going to Vegas again.


Sunday, November 11, 2012

Basketball Preview: Purdue vs. Hofstra - November 11th - 2:00 pm - BTDN

It's been 2 horrible days of officiating for Purdue, yet the football Boilers got a win yesterday.  Today, the men's basketball team looks to get on the board in a game that honestly sort of snuck up on us!  This will be a quick one since the game starts in oh, 5 minutes or so...

They have Pride, you should too!


Why Purdue Will Win -  Hofstra is horrible.  They're coming off a 29 point loss to Monmouth in their season opener and finished 3-15 in the CAA last year.  Even with Terone Johnson out, this is the team Purdue needs to play in order to get their confidence back for next week's games in New York.

Why Hofstra Will Win -  I'm having a very difficult time finding a scenario where this happens.  If Purdue can avoid major injuries and keep from shooting threes all game, it's not going to happen.

One thing you absolutely need to know before the game -  This is the final game on BTDN for the season!  Check out our Newberry post to figure out how to watch it.  But honestly?  It's not going to be that exciting of a game, so I suggest enjoying the last nice day of the year outside, and if you've paid for the online access, watching the replay of the game tonight.  If you haven't already paid for it?  Check out the recap here tomorrow and just watch the replay of the game Wednesday at 3:00 pm on BTN.  This one alone is not worth the $9.95 folks.

Our Picks - We like to think we're better than Vegas.  So throughout the season, we'll be "betting" a whole dollar amount versus the spread between $1 and $32, but we can't repeat the same value twice.  At the end of the year, we'll see if we would have made enough money to make a move to Vegas worth it.  The spread for this game is Purdue by 18.


Erik's Bet: $32
Erik's Pick: Purdue 85 - Hofstra 52

Kirk's Bet: $29
Kirk's Pick: Purdue 75 - Hofstra 59

Standings
Erik +52
Kirk -93

Values already bet
Erik 12, 14, 26
Kirk 31, 32, 30

Boiler up!